Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $4.8K in 24h volume, and $61.6K in liquidity.

Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 17, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.