Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $2.8K in 24h volume, and $13.2K in liquidity.

Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.