Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $40 in 24h volume, and $3.5K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.