Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Player to Score the Most 3-Point Field Goals in the Finals Series: Josh Hart. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Josh Hart will finish the 2026 NBA Finals with more made 3-pointers than any other player in the series. It is a narrow, stats-based question that depends on both how far the Finals go and how much Hart plays in each game, so the race can shift quickly from one night to the next.
The title focuses on Josh Hart and a single Finals-series stat: total made three-pointers across the 2026 NBA Finals. For the market to resolve Yes, Hart must record the most made 3-point field goals of any player in the series, based on official NBA or governing-body scoring. The market’s end date is listed as 2026-07-03T23:00:00Z, and the rules also say Hart must appear in at least one Finals game for the result to be official.
This is the kind of market where a role player or secondary scorer can matter more than a team’s headline stars if he gets enough volume from beyond the arc. Josh Hart is not usually defined by isolation scoring, so his placement at the top of the Finals three-point leaderboard would depend on role, minutes, shot selection, and whether the series turns into a high-volume perimeter matchup. The uncertainty is not just who wins the championship, but which player ends up leading this very specific series stat.
Price movement will usually track Hart’s minutes, injury status, foul trouble, and whether he is taking and making enough threes to stay near the top of the board. Strong three-point shooting nights from other Finals players can quickly change the comparison, especially if one teammate or opponent starts piling up makes in a long series. Because ties are explicitly allowed to pay out a split, a market reader should also watch for scenarios where Hart is clustered with one or more players rather than clearly ahead or behind.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key items to verify are the official Finals game logs, Hart’s appearance status, and the NBA’s final player statistics for made three-pointers in the series. The rules matter here: if the Finals are delayed within two weeks, the market stays open until completion, but a longer cancellation or reschedule window sends it to the last fair market price. The most important ambiguity risk is whether Hart actually plays in at least one game, since no appearance changes the settlement treatment entirely.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Player to Score the Most 3-Point Field Goals in the Finals Series: Josh Hart. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
1%
No
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 3, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
If Josh Hart records the most 3-point field goals made in the 2026 NBA Finals, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from the NBA or relevant governing body. If the Finals series is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the series is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window results in resolution at the last fair market price. If Josh Hart does not record the most 3-point field goals made during the 2026 NBA Finals, this market will settle to No. The result is official if Josh Hart plays in at least one game in the series. If Josh Hart does not play in a single game in the series, the market will settle at fair market price. If Josh Hart ties with one or more other players for the most 3-pointers in the 2026 NBA Finals, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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