finance
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
11%
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$59.1K
Liquidity
$64.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $69.5K in 24h volume, and $3K in liquidity.
Probability
32%
24h Volume
$69.5K
Liquidity
$3K
This market asks whether Apple Inc. (AAPL) will finish the June 8 trading session above $310, using the official closing price for that date. Because Apple is one of the most closely watched large-cap stocks, even a single-session move around a round-number threshold can attract heavy attention from traders and benchmark followers alike.
The outcome depends on Apple’s official closing price on June 8, as published in Yahoo Finance historical prices. If that close is higher than $310, the market resolves to Yes; if it is at or below $310, it resolves to No. The rules also spell out how to handle a shortened session, missing closing data, or a stock split or similar corporate action, with split-adjusted prices used if necessary.
This market is about a narrow price threshold on a specific date, which makes the final print more important than the broader trend. A round level like $310 can matter because stocks often encounter concentrated buying and selling near obvious benchmarks, and Apple’s size means its daily moves are widely observed. The main uncertainty is simply whether AAPL can end the session above that line once the closing auction and late-session trading are complete.
The price can move on any Apple-specific or market-wide factor that affects the stock into the close, including earnings-related sentiment if the date is near a report, company filings, product or legal headlines, or broad index and tech-sector swings. Because the market is resolved off the official close, late-session volatility and the closing auction can matter more than intraday trading earlier in the day. Any split or other corporate action during the window would also change how the threshold is interpreted under the market rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 32% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+3%
24h Vol
$59.1K
Liquidity
$64.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the official June 8 close for AAPL on Yahoo Finance’s historical prices page, since that is the stated source of truth. It is also important to check whether the session was shortened or disrupted, because the rules provide fallback methods for those cases. If a corporate action such as a split occurs, the target level is adjusted proportionally, so the split-adjusted historical price record is what ultimately decides the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $69.5K in 24h volume, and $3K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
32%
No
68%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on June 8 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 32%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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