
+0.7%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
24h Vol
$607.4K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $5.8K in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.
Probability
91%
24h Volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$5.4K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $5.8K in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
90.5%
No
9.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets

+0.7%
24h Vol
$607.4K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 91%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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