Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Completed Match: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $26.2 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$26.2
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Marin Cilic and Denis Shapovalov will actually finish their Libema Open match under normal tennis rules. For tennis followers, the key issue is not who is favored to win, but whether the match reaches a full official completion without interruption, retirement, walkover, or cancellation.
The event is the ATP Libema Open match between Marin Cilic and Denis Shapovalov, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves Yes only if the match is played through to a winner under the governing rules; if either player retires, forfeits, walks over, the match is canceled, ends without a winner, or is still unresolved more than 7 days after the scheduled date, it resolves No. Official match statistics from the event or governing body are the primary settlement source, with credible reporting used only if final stats are not published within 2 hours after the match ends.
Tennis matches can look straightforward on paper, but they are often vulnerable to interruptions from injury, illness, weather, schedule changes, or a player stopping mid-match. That uncertainty is especially relevant in a completed-match market, because even a match that starts normally still resolves No if it does not finish in full. Readers watching this market are really tracking completion risk, not just the on-court matchup between Cilic and Shapovalov.
Anything that makes a full match more or less likely can move this market, especially signs that both players are available and the match is on track to be played as scheduled. A late withdrawal, medical issue, rain delay, court scheduling change, or in-match retirement risk would push the outcome toward No, while the match being underway with no interruption and official completion would reinforce Yes. Because the market is about completion, even a competitive three-set match is still a Yes if it finishes normally.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is whether the official Libema Open or ATP match record shows a completed result with a winner under normal play. If the match is shortened, abandoned, ruled a walkover, or later marked as a retirement, that matters more than any partial scoreline. The deadline for settlement is tied to the scheduled June 8 date, with a fallback to No if no winner is determined within 7 days, so readers should watch the final official match status rather than only live game updates.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Completed Match: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $26.2 in 24h volume.
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Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Denis Shapovalov in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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