Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Cilic vs. Shapovalov: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $348.6 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$348.6
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
56.5%
Change
+6.5%
High
57%
Low
50%
Over moved from 50% to 56.5% over the full available history, trading between 50% and 57%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about the total number of games in the Libema Open match between Marin Cilic and Denis Shapovalov. It is a straightforward over/under line at 22.5 games, so the key question is whether the match finishes long enough to reach at least 23 games under the official ATP scoreline.
The matchup is Marin Cilic vs. Denis Shapovalov at the Libema Open, with the scheduled start listed as June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to Over if the completed match totals 23 or more games across all sets, and Under if it finishes with 22 or fewer. Tiebreaks, including a Champions Super tiebreak if one is used, count as one game for settlement purposes.
Tennis totals depend heavily on how competitive the match is, how many sets are played, and whether one player serves well enough to keep sets close. Cilic and Shapovalov are both the kind of players who can produce long, serve-heavy sets, but tennis outcomes can swing quickly if one player starts slowly or if a set ends in a routine break-filled scoreline. The market is pricing that uncertainty around match length rather than who wins the match outright.
Any sign that the match will be completed normally tends to matter here, because a started-but-unfinished match resolves 50-50 under the rules. In-play score, set count, and whether a tiebreak appears are the most direct drivers of the total-game outlook, since a close two-set match can land near the line while a three-set match usually pushes it higher. If either player withdraws, the match is postponed too long, or the result is not completed within the settlement window, the 50-50 rule becomes the main issue instead of the game total itself.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, readers should check the official ATP result for the match and confirm the final score, including any tiebreak or super tiebreak treatment. The important cutoff is whether the match is completed at all: if play begins but does not finish, or if the match is canceled before play or delayed beyond 7 days without a result, the market resolves 50-50 rather than Over or Under. The official ATP statistics are the source of truth, so the final posted score—not a scoreboard summary or unofficial report—determines the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Cilic vs. Shapovalov: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $348.6 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Denis Shapovalov in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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