Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $18.1K in liquidity.
Probability
48%
24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$18.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
48%
Change
-1.5%
High
49.5%
Low
48%
Over moved from 49.5% to 48% over the last month, trading between 48% and 49.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market is about whether the Roland Garros ATP match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev will finish with at least 39 total games. Because tennis scoring can swing quickly with straight-set wins, long sets, or multiple tiebreaks, the game count is often a cleaner way to frame how tight the match turns out to be.
The event is the men’s singles match Cobolli vs. Zverev at Roland Garros, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. The market settles Over if the completed match totals 39 games or more across all sets; it settles Under if the total is 38 games or fewer. Every tiebreak counts as one game, including a Champions super tiebreak if one is used, and official Grand Slam statistics are the source of truth.
The main uncertainty is whether Zverev’s higher seeding and established baseline strength will lead to a more straightforward result, or whether Cobolli can extend sets and push the total higher. In tennis, the same matchup can land on either side of this number depending on service holds, break chances, and whether the match is decided in three sets or goes longer. That makes the market a compact way to express disagreement about match competitiveness, not just who wins.
Any sign of a longer, more balanced contest would tend to support the Over side, especially if early sets feature few breaks, repeated deuce games, or tiebreaks. A quick, one-sided run of sets would point toward Under, since straight-set matches often leave little room to reach 39 games. If the match is delayed, suspended, or not completed, the special settlement rules matter more than the scoreline itself, because an unfinished match resolves 50-50.
The current market price implies roughly a 48% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, check whether the match actually begins, whether it finishes, and how many games are recorded in the official Roland Garros statistics. The key ambiguity is the treatment of tiebreaks and any super tiebreak, both of which count as one game under these rules. Also note the settlement fallback: if the match starts but is not completed, or if it is canceled before play or delayed more than seven days past the scheduled date without a result, the market resolves 50-50 rather than Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $18.1K in liquidity.
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Over
48%
Under
52%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 39. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 48%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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