Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 64%, $23.1K in 24h volume, and $41.3K in liquidity.
Probability
64%
24h Volume
$23.1K
Liquidity
$41.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
36.5%
Change
0%
High
36.5%
Low
36.5%
Cobolli moved from 36.5% to 36.5% over the last hour, trading between 36.5% and 36.5%.
Cobolli price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market tracks the set handicap for Alexander Zverev’s Roland Garros match against Flavio Cobolli. The key question is not simply who wins, but whether Zverev wins by the margin needed to cover a -1.5 set handicap under the market’s rules.
The event is the ATP men’s singles match between Alexander Zverev and Flavio Cobolli at Roland Garros, with the match originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market resolves to "Zverev" if Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Cobolli based on the final completed score; otherwise it resolves to "Cobolli." If the match is not completed, or if it is canceled before play begins, or delayed more than 7 days without a result, the market settles 50-50 instead of picking a side.
A set handicap adds an extra layer beyond the straight match winner: a player can win the match but still fail to cover the handicap if the scoreline is too close. In tennis, that makes the exact set count matter, especially in a Grand Slam event like Roland Garros where best-of-five matches can swing from a routine win to a long, uneven battle. The market is pricing disagreement over whether Zverev can win comfortably enough against Cobolli to meet the two-set margin.
Anything that changes expectations about match length can move this market: the announced starting time, whether either player is confirmed to play, and any indication of injury, retirement risk, or a walkover. During play, the live score matters most, because a player who drops early sets can quickly stop being able to cover the handicap even if they still have a path to win the match. If the match is suspended or unfinished, the settlement rule becomes important because the market does not resolve to a normal win/loss outcome in that case.
The current market price implies roughly a 64% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the official Grand Slam results for the final completed score, since settlement is based on the completed match rather than a partial scoreline. The most important details are whether the match actually starts, whether it finishes, and whether either player retires or the match is postponed long enough to trigger the 50-50 fallback. Because the rule references a seven-day delay from the scheduled date, any rescheduling or abandonment around that window matters for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 64%, $23.1K in 24h volume, and $41.3K in liquidity.
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Zverev
63.5%
Cobolli
36.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Flavio Cobolli in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Flavio Cobolli, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cobolli." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 64%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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