Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev. The market currently shows a live probability of 20%, $2.8M in 24h volume, and $2M in liquidity.
Probability
20%
24h Volume
$2.8M
Liquidity
$2M
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
19.5%
Change
-3%
High
22.5%
Low
19.5%
Flavio Cobolli moved from 22.5% to 19.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 19.5% and 22.5%.
Flavio Cobolli price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market tracks the Roland Garros ATP match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev, a French Open men’s singles meeting scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. Because the outcome depends on one specific match and the tournament’s official result handling, it is worth watching both for the on-court result and for any schedule or retirement issues that could affect settlement.
The question here is simple: which player advances, Flavio Cobolli or Alexander Zverev, in their Roland Garros ATP match. Roland Garros is one of tennis’s four major tournaments, so matches at this stage carry standard ATP and Grand Slam importance, and the official match outcome will be the basis for resolution. If the match is not completed, the settlement rules also matter: a retirement or default after play begins resolves to the player who advances, while a pre-match walkover, a cancellation, or a long delay without a winner can lead to a 50-50 result.
There is uncertainty because tennis matches can swing on form, fitness, surface, and in-match momentum, especially in a best-of-five Grand Slam setting. The market is also sensitive to availability questions such as whether either player is physically able to start, finish, or advance through retirement. Traders are effectively disagreeing about whether Cobolli can upset Zverev or whether Zverev’s status as the stronger favorite on paper will hold on clay in Paris.
Any update on the official match time, court assignment, or a delay in play can move the price, because the settlement rules treat cancellations and long postponements differently from a completed match. A confirmed lineup change, withdrawal, medical issue, or retirement risk would matter immediately, since the contract resolves to the player who advances if play starts and one side cannot continue. Once the match begins, set score, injury treatment, and whether the match finishes normally become the main drivers of price changes.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 20% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth is the ATP Tour’s official match result, with credible reporting used only if needed. Before the market resolves, readers should verify whether the match was actually played, whether one player advanced by walkover or retirement, and whether the outcome was completed within the seven-day window set by the rules. Because the contract has special 50-50 treatment for cancellations, ties, and certain delays, the exact status of the match matters just as much as who appeared to be winning on court.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev. The market currently shows a live probability of 20%, $2.8M in 24h volume, and $2M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Flavio Cobolli
19.5%
Alexander Zverev
80.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 20%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market