Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fery vs. Bu: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $134.7 in 24h volume, and $1.9 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$134.7
Liquidity
$1.9
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-2%
High
54%
Low
49.5%
Over moved from 52% to 50% over the last month, trading between 49.5% and 54%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks whether the Arthur Fery vs. Yunchaokete Bu match in Birmingham will produce at least 23 total games. It is a straightforward tennis totals market, so the key issue is not who wins but whether the sets are long enough to clear 22.5 games.
The page is tied to the Challenger-level match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET in Birmingham. The settlement line is 22.5 games: "Over" wins if the completed match includes 23 or more games across all sets, and "Under" wins if it finishes on 22 or fewer. Any tiebreak, including a Champions Super Tiebreak, counts as one game, and the official Challenger statistics are the source of truth.
Tennis totals can swing on small details like serve strength, a quick straight-sets result, or whether one set goes deep enough to force a tiebreak. Fery and Bu are the named players, so the market is really pricing the expected length of this specific matchup rather than a broader tournament outcome. Because the rules also include special handling for unfinished, canceled, or delayed matches, there is extra uncertainty around whether the contract resolves normally or 50-50.
The biggest price moves would come from anything that changes the expected number of games: a withdrawal, a late injury note, a lineup change, or a confirmed walkover would push the contract toward its special resolution rules. If play starts, live set scores, breaks of serve, and whether a set reaches a tiebreak are the main match events that can quickly change expectations for an Over or Under finish. A short match that ends in routine straight sets favors the Under, while a tightly contested three-setter or long two-set match makes the Over more likely.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check whether the match is officially played to completion and whether the final score is recorded in Challenger statistics, since that is what determines settlement. The important cutoff is June 13, 2026 at 10:00 UTC, because a cancellation or delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date can trigger the market’s 50-50 rule. It is also worth watching for any note that the match was shortened, stopped, or decided by a super tiebreak, because those situations affect how the total games are counted under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fery vs. Bu: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $134.7 in 24h volume, and $1.9 in liquidity.
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Over
49.5%
Under
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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Liquidity
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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