Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fery vs. Bu: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $3.8 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
+1.5%
High
52%
Low
48.5%
Over moved from 48.5% to 50% over the last 6 hours, trading between 48.5% and 52%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about the Wimbledon-week style grass-court matchup between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in Birmingham, with the outcome tied to how many total games are played in the match. Because the line is set at 23.5 games, it is mainly a question of whether this turns into a short straight-sets match or a longer, tighter contest.
The event is the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET in Birmingham. The market resolves to Over if the match finishes with 24 or more total games across all sets, and Under if it finishes with 23 or fewer. Tiebreaks, including a Champions Super Tiebreak if one is played, count as one game toward the total.
Tennis totals like 23.5 are sensitive to serving strength, set length, and whether either player can pull away quickly. Fery and Bu are the specific names that matter because the market is really pricing how competitive this particular match will be, not just who wins it. The added uncertainty comes from the format rules too: an unfinished match or a long delay without a result resolves 50-50, so settlement depends on whether play is completed under the official Challenger record.
A confirmed start time, lineup change, or any sign that the match is delayed, suspended, or not completed can matter as much as the on-court score for settlement purposes. During play, early service holds, a first-set tiebreak, or an especially one-sided set can quickly change whether the total is likely to reach 24 games. Because tiebreaks count as one game, a match that looks close but ends in straight sets can still land either side of the line depending on how tight the sets are.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key source of truth is the official Challenger match result, since the market settles from official statistics rather than informal scoreboards. Readers should check whether the match was actually completed, whether a super tiebreak was used, and the final game count across all sets. The deadline for resolution is June 13, 2026 at 10:00 UTC, so if the match is canceled, or delayed more than seven days from the scheduled date without a result, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fery vs. Bu: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $3.8 in liquidity.
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Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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