Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Arthur Fery vs. Yunchaokete Bu: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, and $3.4K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-32.4%
High
59%
Low
0.5%
Under 2.5 moved from 33% to 0.5% over the full available history, trading between 0.5% and 59%.
Under 2.5 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about whether Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu need three or more completed sets to decide their Birmingham match. In tennis, that usually means the contest goes beyond a straight-set result and is shaped by how competitive the match is from the start.
The market refers to the singles match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. It resolves to Over 2.5 if the match reaches at least three completed sets, and to Under 2.5 if it finishes in fewer than three sets; a super tie-break counts as one set for this purpose. If the match is started but not completed, or if it is canceled before play begins, or delayed more than seven days past the scheduled date without a result, the market is set to 50-50.
The uncertainty here is straightforward: tennis matches can end quickly in two sets or stretch to three if both players hold serve, trade sets, or push a deciding set. Fery and Bu are the named players, so the outcome depends on their matchup on the day rather than on the broader tournament alone. Readers care because set totals are determined by the actual match format and final official result, not by pre-match expectations.
Anything that changes the expected length of the match can move this market: a player retirement risk, a walkover, or confirmation that the match is being played under a format where a super tie-break could decide a set. If one player withdraws or the match is not completed, the settlement rule becomes especially important because the market can resolve 50-50 instead of to Over or Under. Since the page shows very wide bid-ask pricing and no volume, even small updates around whether the match was completed may matter more than usual.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official Challenger statistics for the final scoreline, because those are the source of truth for settlement. The key details to verify are whether the match actually started, whether it was completed, and how many sets were officially recorded, including whether any super tie-break counts as a set under the rules. Also watch the calendar: if the match is canceled or pushed beyond seven days from the original date without a result, this market does not settle as a normal Over or Under bet and instead goes to 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Arthur Fery vs. Yunchaokete Bu: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, and $3.4K in liquidity.
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Over 2.5
99.5%
Under 2.5
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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