Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $258.6K in 24h volume, and $77.1K in liquidity.
Probability
22%
24h Volume
$258.6K
Liquidity
$77.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
91.5%
Change
+49%
High
91.5%
Low
35.5%
Yunchaokete Bu moved from 42.5% to 91.5% over the last day, trading between 35.5% and 91.5%.
Yunchaokete Bu price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market is about a scheduled ATP tennis match in Birmingham between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu. The page will settle on whichever player officially advances, so the key question is simply who wins that match under ATP rules and the market’s specific settlement terms.
The title names Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in a Birmingham matchup originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Arthur Fery if he advances, or to Yunchaokete Bu if he advances. If the match is not played at all, ends level, or is delayed more than seven days past the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
Tennis match markets like this one can turn on small margins: form, serve performance, court conditions, and whether either player is fit enough to finish the match. The pricing reflects disagreement over which player is more likely to advance in this specific Birmingham event, rather than a broader long-term ranking question.
Any official sign that one player is favored to start, retire, or advance can move the price quickly, especially if match-day lineups, withdrawals, or in-match retirement rules become relevant. Because the market settles on the player who advances, reports of a retirement, default, or disqualification are especially important once the match has begun. If the match is postponed, canceled, or pushed beyond the seven-day window, the settlement can change from a winner-pick to 50-50 under the stated rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 22% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The main source of truth is the ATP Tour, with credible reporting allowed as a backup if needed. Before the market resolves, check whether the match was actually played, whether either player withdrew before start, and whether any retirement, default, or disqualification determined the advancing player. The Birmingham event timing matters because a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date can force a 50-50 result, so the official schedule and final match status are the most important details to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $258.6K in 24h volume, and $77.1K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Arthur Fery
21.5%
Yunchaokete Bu
78.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Yunchaokete Bu in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Yunchaokete Bu. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 22%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
