Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fokina vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+49%
High
100%
Low
50%
Over moved from 51% to 100% over the last week, trading between 50% and 100%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
22 points
This market tracks the total games played in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Mattia Bellucci at the Stuttgart Open. Because it is set around a specific ATP match, the key drivers are simple tennis ones: whether the match is completed, how many sets it takes, and whether any tiebreaks are played.
The question is whether Fokina and Bellucci will finish with 23 games or more, which settles to Over, or 22 games or fewer, which settles to Under. The match was originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, and the result must be resolved from official ATP statistics. Under the rules, every tiebreak counts as one game, including a Champions tiebreak if the format is used.
Tennis totals can swing quickly because a straight-sets win may still clear 22.5 if both sets are competitive, while a short two-set match can stay Under. That makes the market depend on match length, serving strength, and whether the contest is tight enough to produce long sets or a deciding set. The live market has leaned strongly toward Over, which suggests traders have expected a longer or more competitive match.
A last-minute withdrawal, retirement, or cancellation would matter immediately because the contract has special 50-50 treatment if the match is not completed or is delayed beyond the stated window. Once play starts, early set scores are the biggest price movers: a quick first-set blowout points one way, while repeated holds, breaks, and tiebreak potential push the total upward. Any sign that the match is headed for three sets, or that one or both players are struggling physically, can also change the outlook fast.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this settles, check the official ATP match record for the completed game count and whether the match reached a full finish. The important ambiguity is the completion rule: if the match begins but does not end, or if it is canceled before play starts and then remains unresolved past the seven-day cutoff, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to Over or Under. Readers should also verify that any tiebreaks are counted exactly as one game, since that rule can be decisive in a line this close.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fokina vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5K in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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