Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fokina vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $33.4 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$33.4
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.9%
High
57%
Low
0.1%
Under moved from 50% to 0.1% over the last month, trading between 0.1% and 57%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market tracks the total number of games in the Stuttgart Open match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci. The key issue is whether the match gets to 24 games or more, which can happen through a close straight-sets match or any longer three-set battle.
The settlement depends on the official ATP result for Fokina vs. Bellucci, scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET at the Stuttgart Open. If the completed match totals 24 games or more across all sets, the market resolves to Over; if it finishes on 23 games or fewer, it resolves to Under. All tiebreaks, including any Champions Super Tiebreak, count as one game, and if the match starts but does not finish, the market is set to 50-50 under the rules.
Totals like 23.5 in tennis are sensitive to match length, surface, and how evenly matched the players look on the day. Fokina and Bellucci are the named players here, so the market is really asking whether this particular Stuttgart meeting is likely to be short and one-sided or competitive enough to clear a fairly modest game total. Because tennis scoring can swing quickly with a single break, even one tight set can change the outcome materially.
The biggest drivers are the confirmed lineup, any late withdrawal, and how the match begins once play starts. A straight-sets result with at least one long set can still go Over, while a routine two-set win with compact scores pushes it toward Under. If the match is interrupted after it begins, or if weather or scheduling issues prevent completion, the special 50-50 rule becomes important for settlement.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that the match is officially played on the ATP schedule and then follow the official ATP statistics for the final game count. The exact treatment of tiebreaks matters here because each tiebreak counts as one game, and an unfinished match does not settle in the usual Over/Under way. The main ambiguity to watch is whether the contest is completed, because cancellation, delay beyond seven days, or a match that starts but is not finished all trigger the special fallback rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Fokina vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $33.4 in 24h volume.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
