Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $8.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$8.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+50%
High
100%
Low
50%
Bellucci moved from 50% to 100% over the last month, trading between 50% and 100%.
Bellucci price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about the Stuttgart Open match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci, with the outcome determined by the set handicap rather than simply who wins the match. Because tennis matches can swing quickly with retirements, postponements, or straight-set results, the exact completion of the contest matters as much as the names on the draw.
The title means Fokina is the side that needs to win by at least two more sets than Bellucci for the market to resolve to “Fokina,” while any other completed result resolves to “Bellucci.” The event is listed as the Stuttgart Open match originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, and the official ATP result is the source of truth for settlement. If the match starts but does not finish, or if it is canceled or pushed beyond seven days without a result, the market resolves 50-50.
Set handicaps are a way to ask not just who advances, but how decisively the match is played. In tennis, that can be affected by surface, matchup style, fitness, and whether the contest ends in a clean straight-set result or drifts into a third set. The market is pricing disagreement over whether Fokina can create enough separation on the scoreboard to clear a 1.5-set handicap against Bellucci.
Anything that changes expectations for the final scoreline can move this market: confirmed lineups, late injury or fitness news, a withdrawal, or a match format change. Once play begins, early set results matter a lot because this market is tied to the completed score, not just the match winner. A retirement, suspension, or weather delay can also be important here because unfinished matches are explicitly set to resolve 50-50 under the rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check whether the match actually starts, whether it is completed, and whether the final score is recorded by the ATP. The exact settlement rule is specific: Fokina only wins this market if he finishes with a two-set margin or better over Bellucci; otherwise Bellucci does. Readers should also watch the seven-day cutoff from the scheduled date, since a delay beyond that window without a result also forces a 50-50 resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $8.7K in 24h volume.
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Fokina
0%
Bellucci
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fokina" if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins by 2 or more sets than Mattia Bellucci, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Bellucci." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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