Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+36.5%
High
100%
Low
38%
Over 2.5 moved from 63.5% to 100% over the last week, trading between 38% and 100%.
Over 2.5 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
22 points
This market is about how many sets Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci will play in their Stuttgart Open match. It is a straightforward tennis score question, but the settlement rules matter because a retirement, cancellation, or incomplete match can change the outcome even if play starts.
The title asks whether the match goes over or under 2.5 total sets, which means the result turns on whether the contest is finished in two sets or takes at least three. Because the market names the Stuttgart Open and the players involved, it is tied to a specific ATP event and a specific scheduled match time, originally listed for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The rules also say a super tie-break counts as one set for settlement purposes, and official ATP statistics are the source of truth.
Tennis set totals can be hard to know in advance because matchup quality, surface, fitness, and in-match momentum all affect whether a match is decided quickly or stretches to a deciding set. Davidovich Fokina and Bellucci are the concrete names here, so readers are really weighing whether this particular pairing is likely to produce a straight-sets result or a longer contest. The market also carries extra uncertainty from the settlement rules: a match that starts but does not finish, or one that is delayed beyond the cutoff, does not settle in the usual win-loss way.
Anything that changes the expected length of the match can move this market, especially confirmed lineups, last-minute withdrawals, fitness concerns, or signs that one player is not fully available. Because the title is tied to an ATP match in Stuttgart, the most relevant pre-match signals are whether both players are officially in the draw, whether the match is still on the scheduled court and time, and whether there are weather or scheduling disruptions that could affect completion. Once play starts, early set scorelines matter most, since a one-sided opening set pushes the result toward Under while a competitive match that reaches a third set pushes it toward Over.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, check that the match was actually played and completed, since the rules treat an incomplete match, a pre-start cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days as a 50-50 outcome. Readers should also verify the official ATP match record, because the market settles on ATP statistics and counts a super tie-break as one set. If the event format or status changes, that official record will matter more than any informal score update or tournament headline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.3K in 24h volume.
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Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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