Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $599.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$599.3K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-74.4%
High
75%
Low
0.1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina moved from 74.5% to 0.1% over the last day, trading between 0.1% and 75%.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina price history from Polymarket CLOB.
44 points
This market is about a specific ATP Stuttgart Open match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci. Because tennis markets settle on a single official result, the key question is simply which player advances, or whether the match never produces a winner under the rules.
The event is the Stuttgart Open match originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina if he advances over Bellucci, and to Mattia Bellucci if Bellucci advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50; if it begins and one player advances because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the advancing player wins the market.
Tennis matches can be straightforward on paper but still leave room for uncertainty because of form, fitness, surface fit, and possible in-match retirements or withdrawals. Stuttgart is also a notable stop because ATP tour events are played under official scheduling and result rules, so the exact outcome depends on whether the match is completed and how it ends, not just on who was favored beforehand.
The biggest price moves usually come from official ATP updates on whether the match is on time, delayed, or completed, plus any change in lineup status before play starts. If either player is reported as injured, withdrawn, or replaced, that can matter immediately because the settlement rules treat walkovers differently from matches that start and then end by retirement or default. Live match progress, especially if one player clearly controls the match or the other appears to be struggling physically, can also shift the market quickly.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, check the official ATP Tour result for the Stuttgart Open and confirm whether the match was actually played, completed, or decided by retirement, default, or disqualification. The main ambiguity to watch is the difference between a walkover before start, which resolves 50-50 here, and a match that starts and then ends early, which resolves to the player who advances. The resolution deadline is June 15, 2026 at 08:00 UTC, so if there is an unusual delay, readers should verify whether a winner is officially recorded within that seven-day window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $599.3K in 24h volume.
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0%
Mattia Bellucci
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mattia Bellucci in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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