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Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Herbert (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.8K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.9%
High
52%
Low
0.1%
Landaluce moved from 50% to 0.1% over the last day, trading between 0.1% and 52%.
Landaluce price history from Polymarket CLOB.
45 points
This market is about a specific men’s tennis match at the Stuttgart Open between Martin Landaluce and Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Because it is a set handicap rather than a simple match-winner market, the result depends on the scoreline in sets, not just who advances or wins outright.
The question here is whether Martin Landaluce wins by at least two sets more than Pierre-Hugues Herbert, which in a standard best-of-three match means Landaluce would need to win in straight sets. If Herbert wins the match or Landaluce wins in three sets, the +1.5 side is the one that resolves to Herbert under this market’s rules. The market is tied to the Stuttgart Open match originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, and it settles using the official ATP result.
Set handicaps create a different kind of uncertainty than a straight match line because a player can look competitive without necessarily covering the handicap. Landaluce and Herbert are different types of players on paper, and in tennis that makes the exact scoreline—two sets versus three sets—matter just as much as the winner. Readers watching this market are really watching whether Landaluce can close the match quickly enough to satisfy the -1.5 set requirement.
Any lineup change, injury concern, or late scratch involving either player would matter immediately because this market depends on the match actually being played and completed. Once play begins, the live price will move with the set score: a straight-sets win for Landaluce supports the Landaluce side, while Herbert taking a set or winning the match pushes the market toward Herbert. If the match is started but not finished, the market does not settle on the tennis result and instead resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is whether the match is officially played to completion, because an unfinished match settles 50-50 here even if one player was leading. Readers should also check the official ATP match result, since that is the source of truth for settlement and will control the final set count. If the match is postponed beyond seven days from the scheduled date or canceled before first serve, the market also resolves 50-50, so the scheduling status matters as much as the on-court score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Herbert (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.8K in 24h volume.
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Landaluce
0%
Herbert
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Landaluce" if Martin Landaluce wins by 2 or more sets than Pierre-Hugues Herbert, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Herbert." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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