Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Onclin vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $214 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$214
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple tennis scoring question: in Gauthier Onclin vs. Fabian Marozsan at the Stuttgart Open, will the first set run to 10 games or more? Because first-set totals can change quickly on serve-heavy grass courts, even one break or a tiebreak can decide where the line lands.
The settlement hinges on the first set of the ATP match between Onclin and Marozsan, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. "Over" means the first set must finish with at least 10 games played; "Under" means 9 or fewer. If there is a first-set tiebreak, that counts as one game toward the total, and the official ATP result is the source of truth.
Tennis set totals are often uncertain because the score depends on serve quality, break chances, and whether the set reaches a tiebreak. The Stuttgart Open matters here because it is a men’s ATP event where conditions can favor shorter or longer sets depending on how well the players hold serve, so the market is really asking how competitive the opening set will be. The rules also leave room for a non-finish outcome, since an unfinished first set, a pre-match cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days resolves 50-50.
Any confirmed change in the match status, start time, or official schedule can affect how this market is viewed, especially if play is delayed or the match is not completed. Once the match begins, the first few games are the key signal: a quick break, a long run of holds, or a tiebreak path all point in different directions for the 9.5-game line. Because the market is tied to the opening set only, later-set drama does not matter unless the first set itself is still unresolved.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market closes, readers should verify whether the match actually starts, whether the first set is completed, and whether the ATP’s official scoring shows 9 or 10+ games in that set. The edge cases in the rules are important: a tiebreak counts as one game, and an unfinished first set does not produce a normal Over or Under result. If there is any postponement, abandonment, or cancellation, the 7-day commencement rule and the 50-50 fallback are the details to check.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Onclin vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $214 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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