Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Onclin vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $294.8 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$294.8
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-44.9%
High
82.5%
Low
0.1%
Over moved from 45% to 0.1% over the last 6 hours, trading between 0.1% and 82.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
19 points
This market is about the total number of games played in the Stuttgart Open match between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan. Because tennis totals can swing quickly with one tight set or a tiebreak, the Over/Under line at 23.5 is the key number to watch.
The question is whether Onclin and Marozsan will complete at least 24 games in their Stuttgart Open match, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. If the completed match totals 24 games or more across all sets, the market resolves to Over; if it totals 23 or fewer, it resolves to Under. The rules say all tiebreaks count as one game, including any Champions tiebreak, and resolution is based on official ATP statistics.
A tennis total like this depends on how competitive the match is, which sets are close, and whether either player closes out sets quickly. Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan are the named players because their matchup determines the scoring pattern, and in a straight-sets result the total can stay well below the line while a long, evenly matched contest can push it above. The market also reflects uncertainty around match completion, since unfinished or delayed matches are handled differently from normal results.
The biggest drivers are the confirmed match status, the starting lineup, and how the sets unfold once play begins. A long first set, multiple deuces, or any tiebreak makes the Over more plausible, while a one-sided scoreline or a quick straight-sets finish points toward the Under. Because the market settles only on completed games, any retirement, suspension, cancellation, or delay can change the settlement outcome as much as the score itself.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check whether the match actually starts, whether it finishes, and the final official ATP scoreline, since those details determine settlement here. The key rule to verify is the 23.5 total-games threshold, plus the special 50-50 treatment if play begins but does not finish, or if the match is canceled before play or delayed more than seven days past the scheduled date without a result. The official ATP match statistics are the source of truth, so the final posted score and any tiebreak notation matter more than unofficial summaries.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Onclin vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $294.8 in 24h volume.
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Over
0%
Under
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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