Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Gauthier Onclin vs. Fabian Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $105.4 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$105.4
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
40%
Change
-25.5%
High
65.5%
Low
40%
Over 2.5 moved from 65.5% to 40% over the last month, trading between 40% and 65.5%.
Over 2.5 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks a simple tennis-specific question: will Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan play more than two sets in their Stuttgart Open match? Because the settlement depends on the official ATP result, the answer turns on how competitive the match is, not just who wins. The market is also sensitive to how the match is completed, since an unfinished or abandoned match can settle 50-50 under the rules.
The event is the Stuttgart Open match between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The price is tied to the total number of completed sets: Over 2.5 means at least three sets are played, while Under 2.5 means the match ends in straight sets. The rules also say a super tie-break counts as one set for this market, and settlement will follow official ATP statistics.
Tennis matches can look straightforward on paper but still become uncertain because a favorite can drop a set, a match can go long, or a format-specific tiebreak can change how the score is counted. That is especially relevant in ATP events like Stuttgart, where match length often depends on serving patterns, surface conditions, and whether either player can sustain pressure across multiple sets. This market is pricing the disagreement over whether Onclin and Marozsan will finish quickly or need a full three-set battle.
Anything that changes the expected length of the match can move this market, especially lineup changes, fitness concerns, or signs that one player may be limited before first ball is struck. Once play begins, the live score is the biggest driver: a tight first set, a long tiebreak, or a split in sets makes Over 2.5 more plausible, while a clean first-set lead followed by a quick closeout points toward Under 2.5. Because this market has meaningful volume and a very tight spread, small shifts in match expectations can matter quickly.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, check whether the match actually starts and whether it is completed, since an interrupted or canceled match can resolve 50-50 under the rules. The source of truth is the official ATP match record, not a third-party recap or social post, and the super tie-break rule matters if the format goes beyond a standard set count. Readers should also note the end date on the market, since a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a result also triggers 50-50 resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Gauthier Onclin vs. Fabian Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $105.4 in 24h volume.
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Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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