Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $578.8K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$578.8K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
39.5%
Change
+9%
High
40.5%
Low
30.5%
Gauthier Onclin moved from 30.5% to 39.5% over the last month, trading between 30.5% and 40.5%.
Gauthier Onclin price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market is about a first-round ATP match at the Stuttgart Open between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan. For readers, the key question is simple: who officially advances in this scheduled men’s singles match on the ATP Tour?
The title names two tennis players, Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan, meeting at the Stuttgart Open, with the match originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. The market settles on the player who advances, using the ATP Tour’s official result as the main source of truth. If the match is canceled, never played, tied, or pushed back more than seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.
A tennis match can still be uncertain even when the draw is set because lineups change, players withdraw, and matches can end in retirement, default, or disqualification. That creates a specific question for this market: will Onclin or Marozsan be the official winner under ATP match rules and the market’s settlement rules? The current trading shows strong one-sided interest, with a very tight spread, which suggests participants see the outcome as heavily lopsided but still want the official match result to confirm it.
Anything that affects whether the match is actually played or who advances can move the market quickly: a withdrawal before start, a late injury update, a retirement after the match begins, or an official ATP change to the schedule. If the match is delayed, suspended, or rescheduled, traders will watch whether it stays within the seven-day resolution window. A confirmed walkover matters too, because this market says a pre-start walkover resolves to 50-50 rather than to the advancing player.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important things to verify are the official ATP match status, whether the match was completed, and whether any advance came through retirement, default, disqualification, or walkover. The deadline in the market rules is seven days after the scheduled date; if there is still no winner by then, the outcome is 50-50 even if the match was later expected to be played. Because the settlement source is the ATP Tour with possible use of credible consensus reporting, readers should pay close attention to the official result page and the exact wording of any abandonment or withdrawal notice.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $578.8K in 24h volume.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Gauthier Onclin
100%
Fabian Marozsan
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Fabian Marozsan in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gauthier Onclin' if Gauthier Onclin advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Gauthier Onclin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
