Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $3.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
+1.5%
High
58.5%
Low
30.5%
Over moved from 49% to 50.5% over the last day, trading between 30.5% and 58.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
45 points
This market asks how long the opening set will run between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the Stuttgart Open. The 10.5-game line is a simple way to measure whether the first set is relatively tight or finishes quickly, which makes it a useful lens on two players with very different serving and return profiles.
The event is the Stuttgart Open match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to Over if the first set finishes with 11 or more games, and Under if it ends with 10 or fewer; a first-set tiebreak counts as one game in the total. If the first set is never completed, or if the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond seven days without starting, the market settles 50-50 based on the rules provided.
A first-set games line like 10.5 is sensitive to serving strength, break-point chances, and whether one player can control the set early. In a matchup such as Paul versus Mpetshi Perricard, readers may be watching for the contrast between a steadier all-court player and a big-serving opponent, because that can shape whether the set stays close enough to reach 11 games. The market is pricing that uncertainty rather than the match winner itself.
Anything that changes expectations for a close first set can move this market, especially confirmed lineups, late injury news, or a change in who is serving first. If the match begins and the early games are holding serve comfortably, the Over side can become more attractive; if one player breaks early, the Under becomes more plausible. Because this is an ATP event on official scoring, any retirement, suspension, or incomplete first set matters directly under the settlement rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, check that the match actually starts and that the first set is completed, since an unfinished set triggers the special 50-50 outcome. The source of truth is the official ATP result for the Stuttgart Open match, not informal score updates, and the first-set tiebreak rule is important because a 7-6 set still counts as 13 games. The scheduled date and the seven-day delay window also matter, because a cancellation or prolonged postponement changes settlement even if the matchup is eventually played later.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $3.1K in 24h volume.
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Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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