Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $110.4 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$110.4
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
25.5%
Change
-24.5%
High
50%
Low
24.5%
Under moved from 50% to 25.5% over the last month, trading between 24.5% and 50%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks a very specific tennis question: how many games will be played in the first set of Tommy Paul vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the Stuttgart Open. The 9.5 line means the set needs 10 or more games to land on Over, which makes first-set breaks, tiebreaks, and serve dominance especially important.
The event is the ATP Stuttgart Open match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Settlement depends only on the first set: 10 or more completed games is Over, while 9 or fewer is Under, and a first-set tiebreak counts as a 7-6 set with 13 total games. If the first set is never completed, or if the match is canceled before play begins or delayed more than seven days without starting, the market resolves 50-50 under the posted rules.
First-set games totals in tennis are sensitive to matchup style, especially when one player is a big server or both players hold serve comfortably. Tommy Paul is generally associated with a more all-court baseline game, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is known for a powerful serve profile, so the market is effectively pricing whether that combination produces a quick, hold-heavy opening set or an earlier break that shortens it. Because the outcome hinges on one set only, even a competitive match can still settle this market in a way that feels different from the final score.
Any confirmed lineup change, injury news, or late withdrawal would matter immediately because this market is tied to a single scheduled match and can settle 50-50 if it never gets underway. Once play begins, early-service performance is the main driver: a stretch of routine holds points toward Over, while an early break or two can push the set toward Under. A tiebreak is especially important here because it automatically clears the 9.5 threshold, so bettors watching the market will pay close attention to whether both players are holding comfortably through the first six games.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is that the first set is officially completed under ATP results, since the market settles from the official match record rather than a live score graphic. Watch the scheduled start time, whether the match is delayed or postponed, and whether any cancellation or non-start could trigger the 50-50 rule. The only scoring detail that matters is the total number of completed first-set games, including a tiebreak as one game in a 7-6 set, so readers should not rely on match-set shorthand without checking the official scoreline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $110.4 in 24h volume.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
