Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Match O/U 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $696.7 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$696.7
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
45.5%
Change
-4.5%
High
60%
Low
44.5%
Over moved from 50% to 45.5% over the full available history, trading between 44.5% and 60%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about whether Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will play a long enough match at the Stuttgart Open to reach at least 22 total games. Because the line is set at 21.5 games, even a fairly routine straight-sets result can swing the outcome depending on how close the sets are.
The event is the ATP Stuttgart Open match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Over if the official match total is 22 games or more across all completed sets, and Under if it finishes with 21 games or fewer. Tiebreaks count as one game, including any Champions or super tiebreak, and official ATP statistics are the source of truth.
Tennis game totals are hard to pin down because they depend not just on who wins, but on how close each set gets. A server-friendly player like Mpetshi Perricard can push sets into tiebreak territory, while a more straightforward win for Paul could still land below the line if the sets are lopsided. The market is essentially pricing the chance that this matchup turns into a short, clean match versus one with tight sets and extra games.
Any confirmed change in the match schedule, such as a delay, cancellation, or rescheduling, can matter because the rules treat some non-completions as a 50-50 settlement. Once the match starts, each set score is the key driver: a single tiebreak or a pair of close sets can quickly make the Over more likely, while an early break-heavy set can push the total toward Under. Because settlement is based on official ATP results, any score correction or official retirement notation would also be important.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check whether the match actually begins, whether it finishes normally, and what the final official ATP scoreline shows. The most important rule to verify is the special settlement language for incomplete matches: if play starts but the match is not completed, or if it is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond seven days without a result, the market resolves 50-50. Since tiebreaks count as one game here, it is worth confirming how the official match record lists any tiebreak or super tiebreak before the market closes on June 15, 2026.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Match O/U 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $696.7 in 24h volume.
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Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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