Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $288.3 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$288.3
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49.5%
Change
-7.5%
High
60%
Low
49.5%
Over moved from 57% to 49.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 49.5% and 60%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market is about the Stuttgart Open match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, with the settlement tied to the total number of games played in the match. It is a useful one to watch because tennis totals can swing quickly based on serve-heavy sets, tiebreaks, or a short straight-sets result.
The question is whether Paul vs. Perricard finishes with 24 games or more in the official ATP scoring record, which would make the market Over, or 23 games or fewer, which would make it Under. The match was originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Stuttgart, and the rules also say any tiebreak, including a Champions tiebreak, counts as one game for settlement purposes.
This matchup has a built-in totals question because tennis matches can be either quick or extended depending on how often players hold serve, whether sets go to tiebreaks, and whether the match goes the distance. Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard are the kind of players who can produce very different game counts from one match to the next, so the market is pricing uncertainty around match length rather than a simple win-or-lose outcome.
Anything that changes expectations for match length can move this market: a tight serving battle with frequent holds, a first-set tiebreak, or a three-set match would all push toward Over, while a routine straight-sets result would favor Under. If the match is delayed, interrupted, or does not finish, the rules matter just as much as the score, since an unfinished match is set to resolve 50-50.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before resolution, readers should check the official ATP match result, because settlement is based on ATP statistics rather than an unofficial scoreboard. The important details are whether the match is completed, how many games were played in total across all sets, and whether any tiebreaks occurred, since those count as one game under the market rules. If the match is canceled before play starts or is still unresolved after the stated time window, the market does not settle as a normal Over or Under result and instead resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Paul vs. Perricard: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $288.3 in 24h volume.
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Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
