Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $447.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$447.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
-18%
High
68.5%
Low
50.5%
Tommy Paul moved from 68.5% to 50.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 50.5% and 68.5%.
Tommy Paul price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market tracks a specific ATP Tour matchup at the Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul versus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. Because tennis matches can swing on form, surface fit, fitness, and whether a match is completed normally or decided by retirement or withdrawal, this is the kind of event that can move quickly once the official result path becomes clear.
The question is simple: which player advances from the Stuttgart Open match originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The contract resolves to Tommy Paul if he advances, and to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard if he advances. If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market goes to 50-50; if one player advances after the match begins because of retirement, default, or disqualification, that advancing player is the winner for settlement.
Tennis matchups are often hard to pin down in advance because a small edge can come from serving form, return quality, surface speed, and physical condition on the day. Stuttgart is a grass-court event, which tends to reward big serves and quick points, so a matchup like Tommy Paul versus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard can feel especially sensitive to the first few games or any sign of injury or fatigue. The market is also pricing the uncertainty around whether the match is completed cleanly or whether a procedural outcome changes settlement.
Anything that changes the likelihood of one player advancing can move this market, especially confirmed lineup changes, pre-match injury news, or a late withdrawal. During the match, early breaks, service dominance, medical timeouts, or signs that one player cannot continue are the most direct drivers of price movement because the settlement follows the official ATP result. If the match is interrupted, postponed, or stopped before completion, the exact reason matters a lot because the rules distinguish between a normal win, a retirement after play starts, and a walkover before the first point.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official ATP Tour result, since the market settles on who advances and on the exact status of the match if it is canceled, delayed, or ended early. Readers should check whether the match was actually played, whether it finished, and whether any retirement, default, or walkover occurred, because those cases have different settlement outcomes here. The deadline on the page extends to June 15, 2026, so a delayed match can still resolve normally within that window, but anything pushed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner would settle 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $447.7K in 24h volume.
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Tommy Paul
50%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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