Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.1 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-49.5%
High
51%
Low
0.5%
Under moved from 50% to 0.5% over the full available history, trading between 0.5% and 51%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks whether the ATP Challenger match between Otto Virtanen and Kamil Majchrzak in Birmingham will go past 21.5 total games. In plain terms, a straight-sets win can still go Under if the sets are short, while a long three-setter or any match with tiebreaks can push it Over.
The title names two tennis players, Otto Virtanen and Kamil Majchrzak, and the event is their match in Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The settlement line is 21.5 total games across all completed sets: 22 or more games means Over, and 21 or fewer means Under. The rules also say every tiebreak, including a Champions or super tiebreak, counts as one game toward the total, and settlement is based on official Challenger statistics.
This market is about the shape of one tennis match, not just who wins it. Total-games markets can swing on serving strength, tiebreaks, and whether the match stays competitive enough to reach a deciding set, which is why the same matchup can land well above or below the posted line. Because the rules also cover unfinished or delayed matches, there is some uncertainty about whether the match will produce a standard final score at all.
Any confirmed lineup or court-condition information that changes expectations for serve hold, competitiveness, or the chance of a long match can move this market. If the match is completed quickly in straight sets, that usually favors Under; if it goes to three sets or features one or more tiebreaks, that usually favors Over. The special settlement rules matter too: a postponement, cancellation, or a match that begins but does not finish can lead to a 50-50 resolution instead of a normal Over/Under result.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should verify that the match actually starts and is completed, since an unfinished or canceled match can settle 50-50 under the rules. The source of truth is official Challenger statistics, so the final published score is what matters for settlement, including how any tiebreak or super tiebreak is counted. The listed deadline runs through June 13, 2026 at 10:00 UTC, which covers the seven-day fallback window mentioned in the rules if the match is delayed without a result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.1 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Kamil Majchrzak in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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