
--
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
24h Vol
$752.3K
Liquidity
$396.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 79%, $4.2K in 24h volume, and $9.7K in liquidity.
Probability
79%
24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$9.7K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 79%, $4.2K in 24h volume, and $9.7K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
78.5%
No
21.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$752.3K
Liquidity
$396.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 79%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$296.7K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/19/2026
View market
-0.2%
24h Vol
$69.3K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
6/23/2026
View market
-0.2%
24h Vol
$60.6K
Liquidity
$53.2K
Spread
0%
6/26/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$21.3K
Liquidity
$156.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+13.1%
24h Vol
$38.2K
Liquidity
$14.2K
Spread
1%
6/30/2026
View market