crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$175.4K
Liquidity
$128.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $13K in 24h volume, and $14.9K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$13K
Liquidity
$14.9K
This market asks a very specific price question about Bitcoin: will BTC/USDT on Binance finish a 1-minute candle above $52,000 at noon Eastern on June 14, 2026? Because the contract is tied to one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact timestamp, the answer depends on Binance’s own candle data rather than on broader crypto averages.
The event is about Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price on June 14, 2026, with resolution based on the 12:00 ET 1-minute candle close shown on Binance’s chart. If that candle’s final Close is higher than $52,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The deadline on the page is June 14, 2026, and the source of truth is specifically the Binance BTC/USDT candle feed at the time named in the rules.
Bitcoin can trade differently across venues and at different moments, so a threshold like $52,000 at a precise minute leaves room for disagreement even if the broader market trend is known. Traders may also be weighing whether Bitcoin will be above that level by mid-June and whether short-term volatility around that timestamp could push the Binance close to one side or the other. The market is pricing uncertainty not just about direction, but about whether a single minute’s close on a single exchange ends up above the stated line.
Movements in Bitcoin’s spot market, especially on Binance BTC/USDT, will matter most because the rule keys directly off that feed. Sudden swings around the noon ET candle, liquidity changes, or large trades near the cutoff could move the final close across the $52,000 mark even if the broader day looks similar. Any developments that affect crypto sentiment, BTC demand, or exchange-specific pricing around the deadline can matter here because only that exact Binance candle counts.
The current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$175.4K
Liquidity
$128.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution method: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET, and the Close price, not a daily close or another exchange’s print. The main ambiguity risk is confusing timezone or candle timing, so the relevant question is what Binance shows for that one minute in Eastern time on June 14, 2026. Because the market resolves only from the source named in the rules, outside price trackers or other BTC pairs are not निर्णining evidence unless they match the Binance candle data.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $13K in 24h volume, and $14.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
97.5%
No
2.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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