crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$175.6K
Liquidity
$80.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, $5.5K in 24h volume, and $16.4K in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$5.5K
Liquidity
$16.4K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will finish above $56,000 on June 15, using a very specific one-minute candle at noon Eastern Time. Because the resolution depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact timestamp, the outcome can differ from what people see on other crypto sites or on broader market charts.
The question is simple: will the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 p.m. ET on June 15 close above $56,000? If that candle’s final Close is higher than $56,000, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise it resolves to No. The page’s deadline is tied to the market end date of June 15, 2026, but the key reference point is that noon ET candle on Binance.
Bitcoin often trades close to round numbers and sharp threshold levels, so a move of even a few dollars around the cutoff can decide the result. Traders may disagree on whether BTC will hold above this level at the exact resolution time, especially since the market uses Binance’s own candle data rather than a blended price from multiple exchanges. That source-specific rule creates a real ambiguity around which price should count if different venues are trading at different levels.
The market can move quickly if Bitcoin trends sharply into the noon ET window, especially if it is hovering near $56,000 and the final minute candle could close on either side of the line. Crypto-specific catalysts such as exchange announcements, regulatory headlines, ETF-related developments, or broader risk-on/risk-off moves can all affect whether BTC is above or below the threshold at that exact time. Short-term volatility matters here more than the day’s average price, because only one Binance candle decides the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$175.6K
Liquidity
$80.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact source and timestamp rules: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on the date in the title. The important number is the candle’s final Close on Binance, not an average price, not a different exchange, and not a different trading pair such as BTC/USD or BTC/USDC. If there is any ambiguity, the safest check is the Binance trade page with 1m and Candles selected, because that is the stated source of truth for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, $5.5K in 24h volume, and $16.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
94.6%
No
5.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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