crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
18%
-17.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$150.1K
Liquidity
$43.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $9.3K in 24h volume, and $88.2K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$9.3K
Liquidity
$88.2K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will set a new all-time high on Binance before the end of 2026. The key detail is that the outcome is not based on a broad market average or a news headline, but on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle highs during the specified window.
The title refers to Bitcoin’s price reaching a fresh record by December 31, 2026, but the rules give a very specific test: a “Yes” only if a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle between 16 December 2025 10:30 PM and 11:59 PM ET on the date in the title posts a final High that is higher than every earlier Binance 1-minute candle High. The resolution source is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with “1m” and “Candles” selected, so the market is about Binance’s own printed highs rather than highs from Coinbase, spot ETFs, or other exchanges.
Bitcoin can spend long periods below a prior peak, then quickly revisit price discovery if momentum, liquidity, or macro conditions change. Traders following this market are really debating whether BTC can push through its Binance-record high before the deadline, with the uncertainty centered on how far price can run and whether any intraday spike is enough under the exchange-specific rule.
A clean breakout above the prior Binance all-time high would move this market sharply toward Yes, especially if it happens on a fast wick that still leaves a confirmed 1-minute candle high above the old record. On the other hand, repeated rejections near prior highs, broad crypto weakness, or an exchange-specific issue that complicates the candle data would keep attention on No. Because the contract resolves on Binance 1-minute candle highs, even a brief intraminute print matters if it becomes the highest Binance High on record.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-17.4%
24h Vol
$150.1K
Liquidity
$43.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact cutoff window, the exchange, and the candle setting: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the final High values for each candle. The main source-of-truth risk is confusion between Binance and other venues, or between a spot price quote and the official candle High used here. Since the market ends at 2027-01-01 05:00:00Z, any qualifying high must occur before that deadline and must be visible in Binance’s candle history under the stated rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $9.3K in 24h volume, and $88.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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