crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$221.7K
Liquidity
$96K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $21.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$21.1K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a narrow, mechanical question about Bitcoin’s price on Binance: will the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at 7:00 PM ET on June 6 close at or above its open, or finish lower? Because the result depends on one specific hourly candle rather than a daily trend, even a small move during that hour can decide the outcome. That makes it a useful page to watch if you want a clean snapshot of short-term BTC direction at a defined time.
The title refers to Bitcoin and a single Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting on June 6 at 7 PM ET. The market resolves to "Up" if the candle’s close price is greater than or equal to its open price, and to "Down" if the close is below the open. The source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart, using the finalized open and close values shown for the relevant 1H candle.
The uncertainty here is not about Bitcoin’s long-term outlook; it is about whether price is higher or lower at one precise hourly cutoff. Traders may care because Bitcoin can move quickly around a specific hour, and this market isolates that one interval into a simple yes-or-no result. The disagreement being priced is whether BTC/USDT on Binance finishes that hour with net upward or downward momentum.
Any price swing in BTC/USDT during the 7 PM ET hour can move this market, especially a sharp push late in the candle when there is little time left to reverse. Short bursts of volatility, large orders, or a quick break above or below the opening level matter more here than broader headlines because the resolution only compares the candle’s open and close. Since the market uses Binance specifically, moves on other exchanges only matter insofar as they affect Binance’s own BTC/USDT price.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$221.7K
Liquidity
$96K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact 1-hour candle that begins at 7:00 PM ET and check the final Binance BTC/USDT open and close values for that candle. The key source is Binance’s chart, not a different exchange, a different trading pair, or a later candle. The main ambiguity risk is confusing the candle start time or using an unofficial price feed, so the final resolution should be checked against the finalized 1H data on Binance.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $21.1K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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