crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$317.1K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25.6K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$25.6K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific Bitcoin question: will the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that starts at 2:00 AM ET on June 7 close at or above its opening price, or not? Because the outcome is tied to one exchange and one hourly candle, even small moves around the start and finish of that hour matter.
The event is not about Bitcoin’s direction over the day or the week; it is only about the first and last prices of one Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle beginning at the time named in the title. If the candle’s close is greater than or equal to its open, the market resolves to "Up"; otherwise it resolves to "Down." The resolution source is the BTC/USDT chart on Binance, using the finalized open and close shown for that exact 1H candle.
Bitcoin can move sharply in short windows, so an hourly open-versus-close question can stay uncertain right up until the candle finalizes. Traders and readers may care because this kind of market is sensitive to intraday volatility, liquidity, and the exact exchange feed being used, which can produce different outcomes than a similar market on another venue. The live trading activity here also suggests the page has drawn meaningful interest, with a tight quoted spread around the current leaning.
What matters most is price action during the specific hour named in the title, especially a quick move near the candle’s open or a reversal before the close. A strong push in BTC/USDT on Binance during that hour can change the result immediately, while sideways trading near the opening level keeps the outcome close to the line. Because the rule uses Binance’s own BTC/USDT chart, moves on other exchanges matter only insofar as they affect Binance’s price.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$317.1K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should verify the exact candle start time, the Binance BTC/USDT 1H chart, and the finalized open and close values for that candle. The key rule is simple but important: "Up" wins if close is at least equal to open, so a flat candle counts as Up. The main ambiguity risk is using the wrong candle or the wrong exchange, so the source of truth is Binance’s finalized 1-hour BTC/USDT data, not a different pair, venue, or timestamp.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25.6K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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