crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$187.1K
Liquidity
$134.5K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $22.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$22.7K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a narrow but important crypto question: what direction did Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price move over one specific one-hour candle starting at 2:00 PM ET on June 7? Because the outcome is tied to a single hourly open and close, even small intraday swings can decide it. That makes the exact timing and the Binance reference price more important than broader Bitcoin sentiment.
The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at the time named in the title, and to "Down" otherwise. The source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart, using the open "O" and close "C" shown at the top of the graph for that specific 1H candle once it is finalized. The key detail to verify is that this is not Bitcoin on another exchange, not a different trading pair, and not a longer time window.
Bitcoin can trade in different directions over short windows even when the larger day-to-day trend is unclear, so there is genuine uncertainty about where one specific hourly candle will finish. Markets like this are mainly about how traders interpret immediate momentum, liquidity, and any price move around the start of the hour. The disagreement being priced is simply whether the Binance BTC/USDT candle opened low enough for the close to finish above it, or whether sellers kept it below the open.
The biggest price-moving inputs are any sharp BTC moves right around the 2:00 PM ET candle open, sudden volatility on Binance, or a fast reversal within the hour that flips the candle from green to red. Thin liquidity, a brief spike, or an abrupt market-wide crypto move can matter a lot because the resolution depends only on that single candle’s open and close. The market can also move on broader Bitcoin news or macro headlines if they hit during the resolution window, but only insofar as they affect Binance BTC/USDT during that hour.
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24h Vol
$187.1K
Liquidity
$134.5K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check the exact candle start time in the title, the Binance BTC/USDT 1H chart, and the displayed open and close values for that candle once it finalizes. The resolution rule depends on Binance’s own chart data, so outside prices, other exchanges, and even other BTC pairs do not control the outcome. The main ambiguity risk is timing: readers should confirm which hourly candle is being referenced and whether the data shown on Binance has fully closed and settled for that period.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $22.7K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
0%
Down
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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