crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$39.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $38.4K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$38.4K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s short-term direction at a fixed moment: was the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that began at 4:00 AM ET on June 7 higher at the close than it was at the open? Because the outcome is tied to one candle on Binance rather than a broader daily move, it is especially sensitive to the exact timestamp and the exchange’s recorded prices.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest crypto asset, and the June 7, 4:00 AM ET start time for a single 1-hour BTC/USDT candle on Binance. The market resolves to "Up" if Binance’s finalized candle close is greater than or equal to the open, and to "Down" if the close is lower. The only source of truth is the Binance BTC/USDT chart for that 1H candle, using the open and close shown once the candle is complete.
This market is about a narrow price comparison, not a general forecast for Bitcoin over the day. Traders may disagree because a one-hour candle can flip on a small move, and the result depends on the exact Binance data for that interval rather than a cross-exchange average. The setup creates uncertainty around both short-term price direction and the exchange-specific print that will ultimately count.
For a market like this, the main price drivers are whatever happens to BTC around the chosen hour: a fast breakout, a sharp selloff, or even a narrow chop that leaves the candle close very near the open. Because the resolution uses Binance BTC/USDT specifically, movement in that pair on Binance matters more than prices on other venues or in other quote currencies. If the candle is still forming or the data is not finalized, the market can remain sensitive to late swings right up to the close.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.3%
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$39.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact start time, the candle length, and the resolution source: Binance BTC/USDT on the 1H chart. The important detail is the finalized open and close for the candle beginning at the timestamp named in the title, not a later candle or a different exchange. If there is any ambiguity, it will usually come from matching the correct Binance candle and making sure the data has fully settled before the result is checked.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $38.4K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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