crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$133.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $27.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$27.1K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s short-term direction: was the BTC/USDT candle that began at 6:00 a.m. ET on June 7, 2026, higher or lower at the close than it was at the open? Because it is tied to a single one-hour candle on Binance, even a small move can decide the outcome.
The outcome is based on Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-hour chart for the candle that starts at the time named in the title. If the candle’s close price is greater than or equal to its open price, the market resolves to "Up"; if the close is below the open, it resolves to "Down." The page explicitly says the source of truth is the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not another exchange, index, or spot market.
Bitcoin often moves quickly around the clock, and a one-hour window can capture a meaningful shift in sentiment, liquidity, or momentum. The market is really pricing whether that specific opening hour began with enough strength for BTC/USDT to finish flat-to-higher, or whether sellers had the edge by the final print. Because the resolution depends on one exchange’s candle, there can be debate about the exact numbers that matter less in broader market commentary but matter a lot here.
Anything that pushes BTC/USDT materially during that hour can move this market, including fast intraday swings in Bitcoin itself, sudden changes in trading volume, or sharp reactions to broader crypto market moves. Since the resolution uses Binance’s 1-hour candle, the key issue is not where Bitcoin closes later in the day, but how price behaves during that single interval. A brief spike or drop near the candle’s end can matter just as much as the move at the open if it changes the final close relative to the start.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$133.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should verify the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at the exact timestamp in the title and wait for that candle to finalize before treating the result as settled. The market resolves from the open and close shown at the top of Binance’s chart for that candle, so the main ambiguity risk is using a different exchange, a different pair, or an unfinalized candle. The deadline shown on the page is the resolution frame to check, and the exact timestamp matters because this is a narrow time-specific event rather than a general daily or weekly Bitcoin move.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $27.1K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
0%
Down
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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