crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-2.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$362.4K
Liquidity
$43.8K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $23.4K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$23.4K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin’s short-term direction: whether the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that starts at 7:00 AM ET on June 7 opens lower than it closes. Because the outcome depends on a single hourly candle, even a small move in BTC during that window can decide the result. That makes it a clean, time-bounded snapshot of price action rather than a broader view of where Bitcoin is headed.
The title refers to Bitcoin and a single hourly bar on Binance’s BTC/USDT trading pair, beginning at 7:00 AM Eastern Time on June 7. The market resolves to "Up" if the candle’s close price is greater than or equal to its open price, and to "Down" if the close is below the open. The resolution uses the finalized open and close shown on Binance’s 1H chart for BTC/USDT, so the exact exchange and trading pair matter.
There is uncertainty because Bitcoin can move quickly over very short windows, especially around the open of a new hour when momentum, liquidity, and order flow can change fast. This market is effectively asking whether BTC will finish that specific Binance hour above where it started, which can hinge on a brief push in either direction. Readers care because the question is precise, easy to verify, and sensitive to the kind of intraday volatility Bitcoin is known for.
For this market, the main price drivers are whatever happens inside that one-hour window on Binance: sharp buying, sell-offs, or a fast reversal near the candle close. Since the resolution is based on BTC/USDT on Binance rather than another exchange, moves that are strongest on Binance’s order book matter most. Any short-lived spike or drop right around the start or end of the hour can change whether the candle finishes green or red.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-2.1%
24h Vol
$362.4K
Liquidity
$43.8K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact candle window: it must be the 1H BTC/USDT candle that begins at 7:00 AM ET, and the result comes from Binance’s displayed open and close after the candle is finalized. Because the market explicitly ignores other exchanges and other trading pairs, outside price feeds are not the source of truth here. If the candle timing, symbol, or exchange display is unclear, those are the details to check first before treating the outcome as settled.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $23.4K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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