crypto
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
22%
-12.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
24h Vol
$156.4K
Liquidity
$38.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $26.4K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$26.4K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s price on Binance was higher or lower at the end of a specific one-hour candle that starts at 10:00 AM ET on June 8. Because the outcome is tied to a single exchange and a single hourly bar, it is a tightly defined short-term price check rather than a broad forecast of where Bitcoin goes next.
The question is simple: for the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at the time named in the title, is the closing price at least as high as the opening price? If the Binance BTC/USDT candle closes at or above its open, the market resolves to "Up"; if it closes below the open, it resolves to "Down." The resolution source is Binance’s own BTC/USDT chart data, specifically the open and close shown for that finalized 1H candle.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that even one hourly candle can finish either side of its opening price, especially around active trading periods. This market is pricing that near-term uncertainty in a very specific way, using Binance BTC/USDT rather than a broader Bitcoin index or another exchange. The exact timing matters because the result depends on a single candle window, not on the day’s overall trend.
The biggest price moves here come from BTC/USDT trading during the exact one-hour window, since the market resolves off that candle’s open and close. Sudden order-flow, sharp moves in Bitcoin spot trading, or a quick reversal near the end of the hour can change whether the candle finishes up or down. The narrow spread and active trading volume also suggest the market is closely focused on that specific Binance print.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-12.3%
24h Vol
$156.4K
Liquidity
$38.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle that starts at 10:00 AM ET on June 8 and wait for the candle to be fully finalized before treating the outcome as settled. The key source of truth is the open and close displayed at the top of Binance’s chart for that exact candle, not prices from other exchanges or other trading pairs. Because the rule is exchange-specific, the main ambiguity risk is using the wrong market, the wrong timezone, or a candle that has not yet closed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $26.4K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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