crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+1.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$279.5K
Liquidity
$54.1K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $21.4K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$21.4K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very simple question about Bitcoin at a very specific timestamp: was the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that starts at 12:00 a.m. ET on June 8, 2026, higher or lower by the time it closed? Because the outcome is tied to one exchange and one hourly candle, small moves around the opening print can decide the result.
The title points to Bitcoin, quoted here in the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, with resolution based on the open and close of the 1-hour candle that begins at the exact time named in the market title. It resolves to "Up" if the candle’s close is greater than or equal to its open, and to "Down" if the close is below the open. The deadline in the market data corresponds to 05:00:00 UTC, which is midnight Eastern Time.
Bitcoin can move quickly over even a single hour, especially around a clean time boundary like the start of a new daily session. Traders and readers watch these markets because the answer depends on a narrow, rule-based price comparison rather than a broader trend, and that makes the outcome sensitive to short-term volatility on Binance.
The main drivers are any BTC price swings during that exact 1-hour window, especially a fast push above or below the opening price on Binance. Because the market uses BTC/USDT on one exchange, moves on other venues only matter insofar as they feed into Binance’s price; the relevant signal is the finalized 1-hour candle there. The live spread and ask shown on the page can also reflect how tightly the market is trading, but they do not change the underlying resolution rule.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+1.3%
24h Vol
$279.5K
Liquidity
$54.1K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketBefore this market settles, the key thing to verify is the finalized Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at 12:00 a.m. ET on June 8, 2026. The decisive source of truth is the open and close shown on Binance’s chart for that specific candle, not prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or a different timeframe. Readers should also check that the candle is fully closed and finalized before interpreting the outcome, since the rule depends on the completed O and C values.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $21.4K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
0%
Down
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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