crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+1.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$317.9K
Liquidity
$47.5K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $52.2K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$52.2K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at 1:00 AM ET on June 8 will finish higher or lower than where it opened. The key detail is that the outcome is based on Binance’s own chart data for that exact candle, not on Bitcoin prices from other exchanges or a broader market average.
The event is a simple up-or-down check on one specific hourly candle for BTC/USDT on Binance. It resolves to "Up" if the candle’s close price is greater than or equal to its open price, and to "Down" if the close is below the open. The title’s date and time matter because they identify the exact one-hour window being measured, and the market ends once that candle is finalized.
Bitcoin can move sharply over short time frames, and even a single hour can be influenced by liquid trading, large orders, or broad crypto sentiment. People may care because this market isolates one precise Binance price window rather than asking where Bitcoin will be later in the day or week. The main uncertainty is not Bitcoin’s long-term direction, but whether that specific hour closes above or below where it started.
The price can move quickly if Bitcoin is reacting to large spot or derivatives flows, sudden volatility in crypto markets, or a sharp change in risk appetite during that hour. Because the market uses Binance BTC/USDT, anything that affects trading on Binance itself—such as heavy exchange activity, thin liquidity at the open, or a fast reversal before the candle closes—can matter more than prices on other venues. The opening minute is especially important here, since the final result depends on that hour’s open and close.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+1.5%
24h Vol
$317.9K
Liquidity
$47.5K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketThe source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT 1H chart, and the relevant values are the open and close shown once that candle is fully finalized. Readers should verify the exact candle start time in ET versus UTC, since the title uses June 8, 1 AM ET and the market page shows an end timestamp in UTC. If there is any confusion, the decisive rule is the Binance candle for BTC/USDT—not another exchange, not a different pair, and not an intraday high or low.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $52.2K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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