crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+1.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$317.7K
Liquidity
$48.2K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$25.3K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price on Binance finished the one-hour candle that began at 2:00 a.m. ET on June 8 above or below where it opened. Because the outcome depends on a single hourly candle, even a small move near the open can decide the result.
The title points to a very specific Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle starting at June 8, 2:00 a.m. ET. It resolves to "Up" if the finalized close price is greater than or equal to the open price for that candle, and to "Down" if the close is lower. The market is tied only to Binance’s BTC/USDT chart for that hour, not to Bitcoin prices on other exchanges or trading pairs.
An hourly Bitcoin candle can be surprisingly uncertain because the price may drift, spike, or snap back within a short window. Traders and readers watch this kind of market because it turns a very narrow slice of market behavior into a clear binary outcome, with the opening and closing prints doing all the work. The disagreement here is not about Bitcoin’s long-term direction, but about whether that specific hour on Binance closed flat or higher versus lower.
The main drivers are Bitcoin price swings during the chosen hour, especially sudden moves around the candle open or close. Fast changes in broader crypto sentiment, liquidations, or a sharp shift in BTC/USDT order flow on Binance can quickly pull the candle one way or the other. Since the rule is based on a single finalized candle, even a brief late-hour reversal can change the result if it affects the close.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+1.3%
24h Vol
$317.7K
Liquidity
$48.2K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle for the timestamp named in the title, using the open and close shown on Binance’s chart once the candle is finalized. Readers should not rely on prices from other exchanges, spot tickers, or a different time zone, because the market rules specify Binance BTC/USDT only. If the candle data is still forming or if there is any confusion about the candle start time, that is the detail to check before treating the outcome as settled.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25.3K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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