crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
100%
+10.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$394.9K
Liquidity
$138.5K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $33.8K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$33.8K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple question about Bitcoin’s short-term move on Binance: was the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that starts at 7:00 AM ET on June 8, 2026 higher at the close than it was at the open? Because the outcome depends on one specific candle on one specific exchange, even a small move can decide it. The page’s live signals show heavy activity and a very tight market around the Up side, so the exact Binance candle data matters.
The event is defined by the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle on Binance beginning at the time named in the title, June 8 at 7:00 AM ET. If the candle’s close price is greater than or equal to its open price, the market resolves to Up; if the close is lower than the open, it resolves to Down. Resolution comes from the Binance BTC/USDT chart, using the open and close shown at the top of the relevant finalized 1H candle.
Bitcoin can change direction quickly over a one-hour window, and this market captures that very short-term movement rather than a broader daily trend. The uncertainty here is not about Bitcoin’s long-run outlook; it is about whether this one Binance candle finished flat or higher. That makes the market sensitive to small price swings, volatility around the start of the hour, and how the Binance feed prints the candle.
The main thing that can move this market is the actual BTC/USDT price path on Binance during the specified hour, especially any sharp move right after the candle opens or near the close. Because the rule is based on Binance’s own candle, price action on other exchanges only matters indirectly if it influences Binance’s BTC/USDT market. A final push above the opening price favors Up, while a drop below the open favors Down.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+10.5%
24h Vol
$394.9K
Liquidity
$138.5K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should check the Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle for the exact hour stated in the title and confirm the open and close values shown once the candle is finalized. The source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT pair, not a different exchange, ticker, or charting site. The main ambiguity to avoid is using the wrong candle hour or an unfinalized candle before the data is locked in.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $33.8K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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