crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$317.1K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $21.2K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$21.2K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin was higher or lower at the end of a specific four-hour window on June 7, from 12:00AM to 4:00AM ET. Because it uses a short time slice rather than a day-long move, even a small shift in BTC/USD during that window can decide the result.
The outcome is based on Bitcoin’s price at the start and end of the title’s time range: if the BTC/USD value at 4:00AM ET is greater than or equal to the value at 12:00AM ET, the market resolves to “Up”; otherwise it resolves to “Down.” The resolution source is Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream at data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd, so the reference price is not a exchange-specific spot price or a chart from another website. The deadline shown on the page is June 7, 2026 at 08:00:00 UTC, which corresponds to the end of that ET window.
Bitcoin can move quickly, and a four-hour interval leaves room for uncertainty even when the broader trend feels clear. This market is really about whether BTC/USD finishes the window above its opening level according to Chainlink’s feed, not about whether Bitcoin is generally bullish or bearish that day. That distinction matters because traders may disagree on the direction of a very short move, especially when the final print can be close to the starting price.
The price can change quickly if Bitcoin makes a sharp intraday move near the open or close of the window, since only the start and end levels matter for resolution. Any volatility in the BTC/USD feed during the period can matter, especially if price hovers near the opening value and the final reading lands just above or below it. The market can also react to how closely the Chainlink stream tracks the market during that exact interval, because the resolution depends on that specific source of truth.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$317.1K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check the exact ET window in the title and the UTC end time on the page so there is no confusion about the interval being measured. The key source of truth is Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, so the important question is not what a particular exchange showed, but what that feed reports at the start and end of the window. If the feed is delayed, updated, or interpreted differently from a spot chart, that can create ambiguity, so readers should verify the market rules and the cited Chainlink stream rather than relying on outside price trackers.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $21.2K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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