crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$131.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $13.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$13.3K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very narrow Bitcoin question: was BTC/USD higher at 8:00 AM ET on June 7 than it was at 4:00 AM ET the same morning, using Chainlink’s data stream as the judge. Because the window is only four hours long, small price moves can decide the outcome, and the exact reference source matters more than headlines or broad market sentiment.
The title sets a two-point comparison for Bitcoin over the June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET window. It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink BTC/USD value at the end of that window is greater than or equal to the value at the start; otherwise it resolves to "Down." The important detail is that this is not based on a spot exchange, an average across exchanges, or a closing price from another index, but on the specific Chainlink data stream named in the rules.
Bitcoin can move quickly over short time spans, and even a brief four-hour interval can capture a noticeable trend, a reversal, or a flat stretch. The uncertainty comes from whether BTC ends the window above or below its starting reference, which can hinge on a modest intraday swing rather than a major long-term trend. Readers should care about the source definition as much as the direction itself, because a different data feed could produce a different result.
Any fresh move in Bitcoin during the June 7 window can shift this market, especially if price action accelerates near the start or end of the interval. Large exchange flows, rapid changes in broader crypto risk appetite, or a sharp reversal after an early move can all change whether the end-of-window read is above the beginning. Since the market uses Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, the key factor is the path that specific feed shows during the window, not how another venue may quote BTC at the same time.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$131.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketThe first thing to verify is the exact time window in Eastern Time: 4:00 AM ET through 8:00 AM ET on June 7, since the outcome depends on the start and end readings inside that span. The source of truth is Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream at the linked page, so readers should check that the stream is available and that the values used for resolution match the stated feed. If the feed pauses, updates irregularly, or differs from spot exchange pricing, the market rules still point to Chainlink data as the deciding reference.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $13.3K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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