crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-2.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$388.4K
Liquidity
$66.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $23.4K in 24h volume, and $7.1K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$23.4K
Liquidity
$7.1K
This market asks a simple question about Bitcoin’s direction over a very specific four-hour window on June 7, from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM ET. Because the resolution uses Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream rather than a generic exchange price, the exact data feed matters as much as the broader crypto move.
The outcome is "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start; otherwise it resolves "Down." The title fixes both the date and the time band, so readers should focus on Bitcoin’s change during that slice of the day, not where BTC finishes later. The source of truth is Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream at data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd, which is more specific than a spot exchange chart or a news headline.
Bitcoin can move quickly over short periods, and even a four-hour span can capture a sharp rally, selloff, or sideways drift. This market is pricing a disagreement about whether BTC will finish the window higher or lower under Chainlink’s reference feed, which may not match every exchange quote exactly. The live book is leaning toward Down, with a relatively narrow spread, so traders are focusing on whether price can hold up through the full window.
Any BTC move during the June 7 morning window can shift this market, especially fast swings around macro news, crypto-specific headlines, or broad risk-on/risk-off sentiment. Because the decision uses the start and end points of the window, a brief spike is not enough unless it changes the closing Chainlink value relative to the opening value. The live bid-ask also suggests that incremental price changes in BTC/USD, not just major news, can matter here.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-2.4%
24h Vol
$388.4K
Liquidity
$66.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check the exact start and end timestamps in ET and remember that the comparison is start-of-window versus end-of-window, not high versus low. The key source is Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, so the important question is what that feed records at each endpoint, not what a crypto exchange, index provider, or charting site shows. If there is any ambiguity, it would likely come from timing or feed interpretation, so readers should verify the time window and the stated Chainlink reference source carefully.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $23.4K in 24h volume, and $7.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
2.3%
Down
97.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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