crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
--
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$187.1K
Liquidity
$134.5K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $25K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$25K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin, as measured by Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, finished the June 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET window higher or lower than it started. Because it keys off a specific four-hour slice rather than an all-day move, even modest swings during that period can decide the outcome. The market is also heavily skewed toward one side, so any sharp move in the stream during the window matters more than broad longer-term sentiment.
The question is simple: was the BTC/USD value from Chainlink at 4:00PM ET at least as high as the value at 12:00PM ET on June 7, or was it lower? If the ending reading is greater than or equal to the starting reading, the market resolves to "Up"; otherwise it resolves to "Down." The resolution source is explicitly the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream at data.chain.link, not a crypto exchange price, index, or another market feed.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that a four-hour interval can move meaningfully in either direction, and short windows like this often capture intraday momentum, liquidity shifts, or sudden reversals. The uncertainty here is not about Bitcoin’s long-term story, but about whether the price finished this specific slice above its opening level according to one defined oracle feed. That distinction matters because different price sources can disagree slightly, and the market is pricing that exact definition of “up” or “down.”
Any Bitcoin move inside the 12:00PM-4:00PM ET window can change the result, especially a late push that lifts the Chainlink BTC/USD reading above the opening level or a selloff that pulls it below. Because the market uses a single reference feed, changes in that feed’s reported value—not just spot prices on major exchanges—are what ultimately matter. A narrow spread and active volume can make the market react quickly to small intraday shifts as the end of the window approaches.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$187.1K
Liquidity
$134.5K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is the exact time window in Eastern Time and the rule that the ending Chainlink BTC/USD reading is compared to the starting reading for that same window. Readers should also check that they are looking at the Chainlink BTC/USD stream, since the description says other sources and spot markets do not control resolution. The key ambiguity risk is timing: if the feed updates around the boundary, the official start and end readings for the window are what matter, not nearby prices before or after it.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $25K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
0%
Down
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
+49.7%
24h Vol
$617.8K
Liquidity
$114K
Spread
1%
6/9/2026
View market-0.2%
24h Vol
$93.9K
Liquidity
$60.7K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$50.8K
Liquidity
$73.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$29.4K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
1%
6/8/2026
View market-9%
24h Vol
$36.9K
Liquidity
$64.8K
Spread
1%
1/1/2027
View market